MLB Mock Draft v2.0
This story originally published on ScoutingBaseball.com
Loganville HS (GA) CF Clint Frazier
Loganville HS (GA) CF Clint Frazier
National Baseball Analyst
Posted May 27, 2013


How far is Clint Frazier sliding in Kiley's latest mock draft? Has Jonathan Gray overtaken Mark Appel at the #1 overall pick? What late-rising arms have moved into the first round? Kiley brings us his second crack at a projection of the first round of the MLB Draft and tells us what his industry sources are saying.

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This is my second mock draft, see above for the link to the first one, as I'll be more brief with the comments in this edition. The big news in this latest projection is Indiana State LHP Sean Manaea falling out of the first round altogether. His situation is a tough one to figure and that clubs even have a lack of certainty regarding his medical, I chose to break it down from a logical perspective. Much of it will come down to how clubs interpret his medicals (which they haven't received yet and are normally private from the media at least until after the draft) and his bonus demands (advisor Scott Boras normally doesn't give clubs a signability number as most advisors do, in hopes of raising the price).

Manaea was likely anticipating about a $4-7 million bonus entering the spring as a likely top 5 pick and given his diminished stuff, regressed delivery, lack of consistency and shoulder/hip/ankle injuries, he likely wouldn't get much more than $2-3 million with a clean bill of health, which isn't a certainty with shoulder soreness being his latest medical issue. Manaea also threw over 150 innings as a sophomore, so diminished stuff looks more inevitable than fluky.

Boras has a history of believing in his talent when their market value dips (such as Mark Appel last year, which will work out financially) and when millions are lost and potentially able to be recouped, the asking price will be more in line with early spring expectations rather than current reality. With that in mind, along with a still unknown medical prognosis and a full spring of diminished stuff, I'm betting the Manaea camp is starting to realize a senior season at Indiana State is becoming more likely.

With the old draft rules, I'd almost be certain Manaea will find a home, like with Friend Of Boras the Nationals lurking with their first pick in the second round, hoping to make a splash with a full budget. As the draft slotting is constituted now, MLB decides with bonus pools how much money you can spend and a club would likely have to take him in the top 10 or go over slot to sign him at the expense of another high pick or multiple later picks. Using my assumptions, the Yankees could make it happen by essentially turning picks 26 and 32 into Manaea, taking a very cheap college senior with one of the picks and possibly having to go under slot in their third first round pick, number 33 (or alternately going well below slot but not bargain basement with both picks).

Even then, Manaea would have the leverage to hold the entire Yankees draft class hostage as they would either risk going well under/over their bonus pool by signing all their picks before they lock up Manaea, who wouldn't have given them a number before the draft. I can't see a scouting director possibly putting his job on the line with a draft by making the biggest bet in his draft class on a pitcher with three injuries that hasn't been the same in 9 months. On top of all that, you'd be betting on a track record of success of about 50 innings from last summer on the Cape that came against good competition, but any one MLB club saw less than half of those innings.

Pick
1
Houston Astros
Player: Mark Appel
Height: 6-5
Weight: 215
Age (Draft Day): 21.89
Current Team: Stanford
Position: P
Bats: R
Throws: R

General Manager: Jeff Luhnow
Scouting Director: Mike Elias
Draft Slot Amount: $7,790,400

ANALYSIS: I'm not buying all the buzz of momentum for Oklahoma RHP Jonathan Gray or North Carolina 3B Colin Moran at this pick. I reported on twitter earlier this week that Astros GM Jeff Luhnow and Owner Jim Crane were recently spotted scouting Moran (Luhnow had been in multiple times earlier in the year) and it appears if the Astros want to go cheap at #1 overall to spend their bonus pool elsewhere, that Moran is the pick. The other three real options at #1 (Appel, Gray and San Diego 3B Kris Bryant) all appear to be ticketed for the top three picks ($5-8 million bonus each) unless a club in the top three opts to go cheap or pick one of the next few players (no real reason to believe they will). So none of those three are motivated to give a big discount to entice the Astros and I don't think they will. So some people assume that means Moran is the pick since last year the Astros took the least expensive of the top group of talent in Carlos Correa. The difference is the top of this class isn't generally considered to be three players whereas last year's group was generally considered to have eight.

I have Appel as the clear top talent, the many scouts I've spoken with agree and in the case one of the scouts prefer Gray or Bryant, they have to go through a pretty extensive list of conditions and qualifications. This week, I've been hearing the Astros current posture is "exploring every alternative to Appel" and the buzz coming out of Houston matches the deliberate, measured approach they took last season to keep everyone in the dark, maximizing their negotiating leverage with misdirection and hoping one of their targets blinks. I expect some lively internal discussion in the Astros draft meetings the next two weeks that eventually will end up on "we've gotta take the best player here" and realizing there's only one correct answer this year when the price tags are all comparable.

Pick
2
Chicago Cubs
Height: 6-4
Weight: 240
Age (Draft Day): 21.59
Current Team: Oklahoma
Position: P
Bats: R
Throws: R

General Manager: Jed Hoyer
Scouting Director: Jaron Madison
Draft Slot Amount: $6,708,400

ANALYSIS:The Cubs are in a tough spot here, as I've heard all spring that Appel is their guy and I don't think he gets to their pick short of some drastic changes to signabilities of a few players. I don't think it's a foregone conclusion that they would take Gray in this scenario, with Bryant and Frazier still very much in the discussion. A quick-moving power arm for a reloading club that's taken hitters with it's most recent high picks makes the most sense.

Pick
3
Colorado Rockies
Player: Kris Bryant
Height: 6-5
Weight: 215
Age (Draft Day): 21.42
Current Team: San Diego
Position: 3B
Bats: R
Throws: R

General Manager: Dan O'Dowd
Scouting Director: Bill Schmidt
Draft Slot Amount: $5,626,400

ANALYSIS:This is another pick that seems like an easy call of whichever of the top three makes it to them, but Colorado would like to stock up on pitching, so there's still some chance here the Rockies could divert from Kris Bryant. Kohl Stewart and Braden Shipley being viable options at the right price, though it still seems like a long shot here. In the end, you have to draft on talent this high in the draft and Bryant's plus-plus power and scorching spring is too good to pass up. Colin Moran has been mentioned as a cut-rate option here as well.

Pick
4
Minnesota Twins
Player: Kohl Stewart
Height: 6-3
Weight: 195
Age (Draft Day): 18.66
Current Team: St. Pius X HS (TX)
Position: P
Bats: R
Throws: R

General Manager: Terry Ryan
Scouting Director: Deron Johnson
Draft Slot Amount: $4,544,400

ANALYSIS: This is another pick that the industry seems to think is a foregone conclusion if things shake out as I have them, but I gets antsy when a pick looks like a slam dunk this early. Reese McGuire is the hot rumor but one source indicated this week that he thinks the McGuire rumors are just misdirection to keep Stewart's price down. Stewart's dual-sport leverage as a QB recruit for Texas A&M could spike his price tag if he's confident he's a top-5 pick. Trey Ball's name has also come up but it would be very hard to justify taking him this high.

Pick
5
Cleveland Indians
Player: Colin Moran
Height: 6-4
Weight: 220
Age (Draft Day): 20.68
Current Team: North Carolina
Position: 3B
Bats: L
Throws: R

General Manager: Chris Antonetti
Scouting Director: Brad Grant
Draft Slot Amount: $3,787,000

ANALYSIS: The last of the picks that anyone in the industry has a feel for ends here, as this should be Moran's floor. Cleveland has been in heavy on Moran all spring with GM Chris Antonetti in to see him late in the season. Shipley could be an option here, but it looks like Cleveland will just take whoever falls to them of the top group of five players I have projected here with a preference for a college player but definitely excited to grab Stewart or Bryant if they're the ones that fall. Clint Frazier is getting some late momentum here, as well.

Pick
6
Miami Marlins
Height: 6-2
Weight: 180
Age (Draft Day): 21.29
Current Team: Nevada
Position: P
Bats: R
Throws: R

General Manager: Michael Hill
Scouting Director: Stan Meek
Draft Slot Amount: $3,516,500

ANALYSIS: When there isn't an obvious Oklahoma player to tie to them, the Marlins can be very hard to predict and that's the case this year. I've heard college/high school and pitcher/hitter tied to Miami with rumors they'll go cheap or just take the player they like most. This is the high water point for D.J. Peterson and the realistic ceiling for Trey Ball. I've also heard Clint Frazier here some but think the Fish have a preference for a more conventionally talented player like Shipley, as long as one of the top five (Kohl Stewart specifically), aren't available here. Reese McGuire is also a dark horse but Miami may be scared off from taking a prep catcher in the top 10 after the Kyle Skipworth experience.

Pick
7
Boston Red Sox
Height: 6-0
Weight: 190
Age (Draft Day): 18.75
Current Team: Loganville HS (GA)
Position: CF
Bats: R
Throws: R

General Manager: Ben Cherington
Scouting Director: Amiel Sawdaye
Draft Slot Amount: $3,246,000

ANALYSIS: I've heard all spring the Red Sox are all over Clint Frazier and are looking for a huge upside guy to take with what they hope is their last top 10 pick for a long time. I have Frazier in the group with Appel-Gray-Bryant as the media's "Big Three" is a Big Four for me. Boston has also been in on Shipley, Stewart and Moran but would be doing back flips to get Frazier here, as well they should be.

Pick
8
Kansas City Royals
Height: 6-1
Weight: 210
Age (Draft Day): 21.43
Current Team: New Mexico
Position: 1B
Bats: R
Throws: R

General Manager: Dayton Moore
Scouting Director: Lonnie Goldberg
Draft Slot Amount: $3,137,800

ANALYSIS: I've heard the Royals both tied and not tied to Ryne Stanek, who went to a nearby Kansas high school, but I also saw a recent Stanek start and he just flat doesn't belong this high. The Royals have shifted into win-now mode and while historically prep players like Trey Ball and Reese McGuire (who they've been tied to) fit their type, I'm hearing the Royals want a quick-to-the-majors talent. Peterson belongs here on talent and is most often comped to Billy Butler, an outcome I think Royals fans would like after losing Wil Myers.

Pick
9
Pittsburgh Pirates
Height: 6-1
Weight: 190
Age (Draft Day): 18.26
Current Team: Kentwood HS (WA)
Position: C
Bats: L
Throws: R

General Manager: Neal Huntington
Scouting Director: Joe DelliCarri
Draft Slot Amount: $3,029,600

ANALYSIS: The Pirates have been very aggressive along with the team that picks right behind them, Toronto, on McGuire. With another pick at 14, if the Pirates want McGuire they have to take him here and that appears to be what they'll do. Pittsburgh was tied to Moran all spring but that's not happening and while the Pirates have also been tied to other bats at this pick (D.J. Peterson, Austin Meadows and Hunter Renfroe) one of whom could still make it to #14 and all appear to be lower on their board than McGuire. Trey Ball is also in play here.

Pick
10
Toronto Blue Jays
Player: Trey Ball
Height: 6-6
Weight: 185
Age (Draft Day): 18.94
Current Team: New Castle HS (IN)
Position: P
Bats: L
Throws: L

General Manager: Alex Anthopoulos
Scouting Director: Brian Parker
Draft Slot Amount: $2,921,400

ANALYSIS: After missing out on McGuire, most leads have Toronto looking at a prep player for this pick. Trey Ball has been mentioned at a lot of the top 10 picks with him landing here making a lot of sense. J.P. Crawford has been scouted heavily by the Jays and is a real factor at this pick, along with Shipley and Frazier, who both should be gone by this pick. Austin Meadows also could fit here but seems like a secondary option along with Dominic Smith, behind Ball and Crawford. The Jays are about upside and the 6'6 lefty that's been up to 94 this spring fits the bill.

Pick
11
New York Mets
Height: 6-3
Weight: 220
Age (Draft Day): 18.09
Current Team: Grayson HS (GA)
Position: OF
Bats: L
Throws: L

General Manager: Sandy Alderson
Scouting Director: Tommy Tanous
Draft Slot Amount: $2,840,300

ANALYSIS: The Mets appear to have been able to narrow down their realistic draft board to Meadows, Peterson and Renfroe, in that order. For this scenario, KC takes Peterson and Pittsburgh/Toronto pass on Meadows. I think this is Meadows floor, although his market has been tough to pin down all spring. Some other players like Phil Ervin have been tied to the Mets but shouldn't be a factor at this pick.

Pick
12
Seattle Mariners
Height: 6-2
Weight: 180
Age (Draft Day): 18.4
Current Team: Lakewood HS (CA)
Position: SS
Bats: L
Throws: R

General Manager: Jack Zduriencik
Scouting Director: Tom McNamara
Draft Slot Amount: $2,759,100

ANALYSIS: Seattle, like Toronto, has been in heavy on J.P. Crawford and also is holding out hope for local boy Reese McGuire. The M's have also been in heavy to see Marco Gonzales, the Gonzaga lefty one scouting director told me will be the first player from this class to make the big leagues. It's a little early for Gonzales or Samford OF Phil Ervin, another college player Seattle has been tied to, and they seem to prefer high upside bats at this pick. The Mariners took Stanek in the third round out of high school but they won't pass on Crawford for him. Seattle also has shown a lot of interest in Phil Bickford and this is as high as he would go.

Pick
13
San Diego Padres
Height: 6-1
Weight: 200
Age (Draft Day): 17.98
Current Team: Serra HS (CA)
Position: 1B
Bats: L
Throws: L

General Manager: Josh Byrnes
Scouting Director: Billy Gasparino
Draft Slot Amount: $2,678,000

ANALYSIS: The Padres have been tied to West Coast prep prospects mostly, with Reese McGuire (likely gone), J.P. Crawford (probably gone), Phil Bickford (high water mark here and #12) and Dominic Smith on the list, along with one college bat (Peterson) that I don't think will make it here. It would be down to LA-area preps Bickford (Jered Weaver comps from scouts this spring) and Smith (Todd Helton comps) in this scenario, with the long-performing bat winning the tossup over the late-rising prep arm. Juco SS Tim Anderson is a darkhorse name here.

Pick
14
Pittsburgh Pirates
Height: 6-1
Weight: 209
Age (Draft Day): 21.36
Current Team: Mississippi State
Position: C
Bats: R
Throws: R

General Manager: Neal Huntington
Scouting Director: Joe DelliCarri
Draft Slot Amount: $2,569,800

ANALYSIS:It looks like the board will play out that the end of the hitter run will end here or possibly at the next pick and the Pirates will take the best bat available. They would consider but likely pass on Renfroe at #9 while prep bats Meadows, Crawford and Smith all go in between #9 and #14, along with Ball. All four of those are targets for the Pirates at this pick, so they'll just play the board.

Pick
15
Arizona Diamondbacks
Height: 6-3
Weight: 200
Age (Draft Day): 21.39
Current Team: Oral Roberts
Position: P
Bats: R
Throws: R

General Manager: Kevin Towers
Scouting Director: Ray Montgomery
Draft Slot Amount: $2,434,500

ANALYSIS: The D'Backs should take one of the bats if they fall, but in this scenario they all go right in front of them unless they have Notre Dame 3B Eric Jagielo in that group on their board. Of the arms, Stanek, Gonzalez and North Carolina prep RHP Hunter Harvey all fit and none should be a tough sign here. Gonzalez has the best combination of now stuff and command and could move quickly.

Pick
16
Philadelphia Phillies
Player: Alex Balog
Height: 6-5
Weight: 210
Age (Draft Day): 20.89
Current Team: San Francisco
Position: P
Bats: R
Throws: R

General Manager: Ruben Amaro
Scouting Director: Marti Wolever
Draft Slot Amount: $2,299,300

ANALYSIS: Like Arizona, Philly would also like to add a bat here but the board is giving them pitchers and Stanek and Harvey both could fit. The Phillies have been tied heavily to righty Alex Balog, who was very average early in the year but the 6'6 hurler with serious helium started flashing plus stuff across the board late in the season. The Phillies have been in for most of his starts down the stretch and Balog fits their type as a big pitchers with huge upside. He's a newer name to casual draft fans, but he is likely gone in the next 10 picks, so it isn't much of a reach here.

Pick
17
Chicago White Sox
Player: Ryne Stanek
Height: 6-4
Weight: 190
Age (Draft Day): 21.86
Current Team: Arkansas
Position: P
Bats: R
Throws: R

General Manager: Rick Hahn
Scouting Director: Doug Laumann
Draft Slot Amount: $2,164,000

ANALYSIS: Continuing the reluctant run on pitchers here, I have the White Sox taking Stanek, a power arm not that dissimilar to Jake Peavy when he's right, but is similarly inconsistent. Hunter Harvey could also fit here and this may also be the spot where local boy and Illinois native Eric Jagielo fits. The White Sox would love a shot at Hunter Renfroe here but that's looking like a longshot.

Pick
18
Los Angeles Dodgers
Height: 6-4
Weight: 190
Age (Draft Day): 17.91
Position: P
Bats: R
Throws: R

General Manager: Ned Colletti
Scouting Director: Logan White
Draft Slot Amount: $2,109,900

ANALYSIS: Logan White loves him some athletic prep arms and the best fit here and the prep arm with the most helium is right in his backyard, Phil Bickford. Ian Clarkin, Chris Anderson and Matt Krook could also fit here.

Pick
19
St. Louis Cardinals
Player: Eric Jagielo
Height: 6-3
Weight: 215
Age (Draft Day): 21.05
Current Team: Notre Dame
Position: 3B
Bats: L
Throws: R

General Manager: John Mozeliak
Scouting Director: Dan Kantrovitz
Draft Slot Amount: $2,055,800

ANALYSIS: With the high-end bats like Renfroe and Dominic Smith not making it to this pick, the Cards are casting a wide net and looking at every kind of player here. College players are the likely fits with Jagielo, Aaron Judge, Jonathon Crawford and Marco Gonzales the best fits, but many of the names mentioned above come into play here like Phil Ervin, along with Billy McKinney and Ian Clarkin.

Pick
20
Detroit Tigers
Player: Tim Anderson
Height: 6-1
Weight: 182
Age (Draft Day): 19.95
Current Team: East Central CC (MS)
Position: SS
Bats: R
Throws: R

General Manager: Dave Dombrowski
Scouting Director: David Chadd
Draft Slot Amount: $2,001,700

ANALYSIS: I've heard two names heavy the last few weeks that belong in this range and fit the Tigers style well: tools monsters OF Aaron Judge (Fresno State) and SS Tim Anderson (Mississippi Juco), with Anderson likely going off the board in the next few picks and Judge possibly going one spot ahead of this pick. The Tigers have been heavy at Anderson's games, rolling four deep at one recent game with scouting director David Chadd. Anderson doesn't get the credit he deserves in the industry (insane numbers, under 10 strikeouts all season, plus-plus speed, a plus arm & bat speed with the ability to stick at short) and it may be due to his unusual past. Anderson was primarily a basketball player as early as last season and the biggest mystery in the scouting industry this year was how this kid went undrafted last season out of the same school. He belongs in this range even though some clubs don't think so (some scouts refer to an anti-junior college bias) and those clubs may end up looking foolish again.

Pick
21
Tampa Bay Rays
Height: 6-1
Weight: 185
Age (Draft Day): 21.31
Current Team: Gonzaga
Position: P
Bats: L
Throws: L

General Manager: Andrew Friedman
Scouting Director: R.J. Harrison
Draft Slot Amount: $1,974,700

ANALYSIS: The Rays have been monitoring many kinds of players just like St. Louis, looking to play the board and take the talent that falls into their laps as they've done so well recently (Taylor Guerreri, Mikie Mahtook, Richie Shaffer). Ciuffo, Jon Denney, Anderson and Austin Wilson are some bats that have been mentioned here with Gonzales, Stanek and with a number of prep arms are all in play. Gonzales looks like the quickest to the majors player in this class and probably wouldn't make it to the Rays next pick at #29. Ciuffo is another strong option here but fellow prep catcher Denney should be at that next pick and some clubs prefer him to Ciuffo.

Pick
22
Baltimore Orioles
Player: Nick Ciuffo
Height: 6-1
Weight: 210
Age (Draft Day): 18.25
Current Team: Lexington HS (SC)
Position: C
Bats: L
Throws: R

General Manager: Dan Duquette
Scouting Director: Gary Rajsich
Draft Slot Amount: $1,947,600

ANALYSIS: The O's like Balog and could consider him here but Ciuffo is a guy that's been tied to Baltimore for awhile. Some of the other names I've said a few times like Phil Ervin, Austin Wilson, Hunter Harvey and Jon Denney all could fit here along with Virginia prep righty Connor Jones.

Pick
23
Texas Rangers
Player: Phil Ervin
Height: 5-10
Weight: 195
Age (Draft Day): 20.89
Current Team: Samford
Position: OF
Bats: R
Throws: R

General Manager: Jon Daniels
Scouting Director: Kip Fagg
Draft Slot Amount: $1,920,600

ANALYSIS: Texas has been one of a number of teams keeping a close eye on Phil Ervin through a season where he's played through with an ankle injury. If a club has history with Ervin and thinks he can play center, he could go a good bit higher than this, but this is about where the industry has him. Oscar Mercado has been targeted by the Rangers and likely fits at their next pick, while they've also been in on Tim Anderson as the other potential every day shortstop in this draft. Jonathon Crawford, Austin Wilson, Aaron Judge and Hunter Harvey are other possible fits here.

Pick
24
Oakland Athletics
Height: 6-5
Weight: 245
Age (Draft Day): 21.33
Current Team: Stanford
Position: OF
Bats: R
Throws: R

General Manager: Billy Beane
Scouting Director: Eric Kubota
Draft Slot Amount: $1,893,500

ANALYSIS: The A's are one of the other clubs that's been in heavy to see Tim Anderson but in this scenario they don't get a chance to take him. Austin Wilson is local to the club and some of their top scouts and has above average everyday potential. Ryan Eades is a possibility here and Phil Bickford would likely be the choice if he makes it this far. Aaron Judge is often tied to Wilson and was picked out of high school by the A's, making him another possibility.

Pick
25
San Francisco Giants
Height: 6-3
Weight: 175
Age (Draft Day): 18.49
Current Team: Bandys HS (NC)
Position: P
Bats: R
Throws: R

General Manager: Brian Sabean
Scouting Director: John Barr
Draft Slot Amount: $1,866,500

ANALYSIS: This pick was subject to the juiciest rumor at the Florida high school All-Star Game in Sebring: Florida prep SS Christian Arroyo going to the Giants at this pick for a discount and eventually being converted to catcher. The Giants were rolling four deep at the event, although Arroyo is more of a second-round talent and could make it to their second round pick. If the right player falls to them, I could see the Giants gambling on Arroyo slipping to them later and Hunter Harvey could be that guy. The lanky prep righty has been up to 97 and has a lot of untapped potential, along with fitting the Giants preference for young power arms. The Giants have also been tied to TCU righty Andrew Mitchell, local prep lefty Matt Krook, Balog, Chris Anderson, Aaron Blair and Phil Bickford.

Pick
26
New York Yankees
Player: Rob Kaminsky
Height: 6-0
Weight: 190
Age (Draft Day): 18.76
Current Team: St. Joseph HS (NJ)
Position: P
Bats: B
Throws: L

General Manager: Brian Cashman
Scouting Director: Damon Oppenheimer
Draft Slot Amount: $1,839,400

ANALYSIS: The Yankees and the owners of the next pick, Cincinnati, have been tied most to Kaminsky so it makes sense for the Bombers to take him here. I've heard the Yankees tied to a multitude of players this spring, and those still available at this pick include Billy McKinney, Jonathon Crawford, Tom Windle, Aaron Judge and Ryan Eades.

Pick
27
Cincinnati Reds
Height: 6-4
Weight: 225
Age (Draft Day): 20.85
Current Team: Jacksonville
Position: P
Bats: R
Throws: R

General Manager: Walt Jocketty
Scouting Director: Chris Buckley
Draft Slot Amount: $1,812,400

ANALYSIS: Gonzales, Anderson, Andrew Thurman, Clarkin and Eades have all been among the arms tied to the Reds at this pick. Anderson looked like a top 10 pick early in the year and could be a coup at this point, with his market very unsettled.

Pick
28
St. Louis Cardinals
Aaron Judge
Player: Aaron Judge
Height: 6-7
Weight: 255
Age (Draft Day): 21.11
Current Team: Fresno State
Position: OF
Bats: R
Throws: R

General Manager: John Mozeliak
Scouting Director: Dan Kantrovitz
Draft Slot Amount: $1,785,300

ANALYSIS: McKinney, Clarkin, Thurman, Gonzales and Austin Wilson all could fit here in another likely college-oriented Cardinals pick with Jagielo above. Judge has interested the Cardinals with his tantalizing combination of size, strength and speed since the Cape Cod League and would be a solid value here.

Pick
29
Tampa Bay Rays
Player: Jon Denney
Height: 6-2
Weight: 205
Age (Draft Day): 18.69
Current Team: Yukon HS (OK)
Position: C
Bats: R
Throws: R

General Manager: Andrew Friedman
Scouting Director: R.J. Harrison
Draft Slot Amount: $1,758,300

ANALYSIS: The Rays may look to diversify their early picks here, coupling Marco Gonzales with a prep catcher some would consider equivalent to the one they passed on above, Nick Ciuffo. A laundry list of names like Mississippi Juco lefty Cody Reed, Ian Clarkin, Riley Unroe, Dustin Peterson, Travis Demeritte, Josh Hart and Oscar Mercado all have been mentioned as possible fits here for Tampa Bay.

Pick
30
Texas Rangers
Height: 6-1
Weight: 175
Age (Draft Day): 18.47
Current Team: Gaither HS (FL)
Position: SS
Bats: R
Throws: R

General Manager: Jon Daniels
Scouting Director: Kip Fagg
Draft Slot Amount: $1,731,200

ANALYSIS: The worst-kept secret in Florida is Texas' interest in Oscar Mercado, but their interest is in all three of the potential first-round shortstop prospects with Mercado likely being the only one Texas gets the chance to pick. Cody Reed is another possibility.

Pick
31
Atlanta Braves
Player: Josh Hart
Height: 6-1
Weight: 180
Age (Draft Day): 18.68
Current Team: Parkview HS (GA)
Position: CF
Bats: L
Throws: L

General Manager: Frank Wren
Scouting Director: Tony DeMacio
Draft Slot Amount: $1,704,200

ANALYSIS: It seems reductive to just give a local prep prospect to the Braves, as they haven't been quite as dogmatic with recent high picks, but Hart fits here on talent, has dynamic upside and the Braves are known to be interested. They were in heavy at the Big East tournament to see Notre Dame 3B Eric Jagielo, but it's unlikely he lasts this long. Aaron Blair, Cody Reed, Hunter Green and Andrew Mitchell are among the arms getting mentioned here.

Pick
32
New York Yankees
Height: 6-1
Weight: 195
Age (Draft Day): 18.79
Current Team: Plano West HS (TX)
Position: CF
Bats: L
Throws: L

General Manager: Brian Cashman
Scouting Director: Damon Oppenheimer
Draft Slot Amount: $1,677,100

ANALYSIS: McKinney is one of the players mentioned above that has been tied to the Yankees for awhile, all the way back to being on the Texas Yankees Scout Team in many travel ball tournaments. He fits the Yankees mold of athletic up-the-middle player that hits and is a solid value here.

Pick
33
New York Yankees
Height: 6-2
Weight: 205
Age (Draft Day): 21.6
Current Team: Florida
Position: SP
Bats: R
Throws: R

General Manager: Brian Cashman
Scouting Director: Damon Oppenheimer
Draft Slot Amount: $1,650,100

ANALYSIS: The Yanks have been among the clubs that recently have seen the Florida righty trending up. Scouts don't love his body, arm action or delivery but when the stuff is at its best (93-97 touching 99 mph with a plus-plus slider), it belongs well above this pick. It's easier to accept the possible risks of an arm like Crawford when you're picking multiple players and types: Kaminsky/McKinney/Crawford is a solid group.



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